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In a tumultuous trading session, Indian equity indices failed to sustain their early gains and closed lower for the fourth consecutive session on April 18, with the Nifty slipping below the crucial 22,000 mark. The Sensex concluded the day down by 454 points at 72488, while the Nifty fell by 152 points percent to 21995. The session began positively, buoyed by a global relief rally and short-covering activities, pushing the benchmark above 22300. However, this upward momentum was short-lived as intense selling pressure took hold during the latter half of the session, dragging the Nifty below 22000.The week proved to be disheartening for bullish investors, witnessing a drop of over 500 points in the benchmark index, bringing it below the 22000 mark. From a technical perspective, the index dipped below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) with a significant bearish candle formation, indicating underlying market weakness. The immediate support level is anticipated around 21800, with a potential test of the 100-day DEMA at 21600 if bullish momentum fails to materialize.On the upside, resistance levels are expected at 22150, followed by the 20-day DEMA around the 22,300 zone. Overall market sentiment favors the bears, and any rallies should be viewed as opportunities to either exit long positions or consider bearish positions.While global market developments may offer some respite, caution is advised amid ongoing uncertainty. It's prudent to refrain from aggressive trading until market conditions stabilize.On the technical front, despite the Nifty remaining below the critical 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a bullish harami pattern has formed on the hourly chart, suggesting a potential bullish reversal in the near term. Moreover, bullish divergence is evident on the hourly chart, indicating possible upward movement towards 22,200/22,300. Sustained trading above 22,300 could further strengthen the market, with support situated at 21,900.The market sentiment was mixed, influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and
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The domestic market continued its consolidation trend for the third consecutive day on April 17, as geopolitical tensions and a drop in the probability of short-term rate cuts weighed on investor sentiment. Heightened concerns arose following stronger-than-anticipated US retail sales, leading to speculation that the US Federal Reserve might delay rate cuts. This contributed to a notable uptick in the dollar index and US bond yields. The IT sector witnessed significant declines, primarily due to expectations of earnings being affected by weak discretionary spending in the US and muted domestic Q4 results.
Index Performance:
Sensex: The Sensex closed lower for a third straight session, down 456 points at 72943.
Nifty 50: The Nifty 50 also ended lower, falling 124 points to 22147. About 2,037 shares advanced, 1255 shares declined, and 86 shares remained unchanged.
Market Sentiment:
Analysts advised investors to adopt caution and adopt a wait-and-watch approach amidst ongoing uncertainties. The worsening situation in West Asia and rising US treasury bond yields added to investor concerns.
Sectoral Performance:
Nifty IT: The Nifty IT sector saw significant declines, falling 2.6 percent.
Nifty PSU Bank: Nifty PSU Bank shed 1.3 percent.
Nifty Pharma and Nifty FMCG: Conversely, Nifty Pharma and Nifty FMCG ended higher, up 0.4 percent, emerging as the top gainers amongst sectoral indices.
Technical Analysis:
The Bank Nifty index witnessed a recovery in the latter half of the session, closing above its 20-day moving average (20DMA) at 47,500. However, further analysis suggests that if the index fails to sustain above the 47,500-47,400 range, it could experience further selling pressure.
Outlook:
Going ahead, market participants are advised to remain cautious amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainties surrounding interest rates. The broader market managed to stay afloat, with the BSE Smallcap gaining 0.6% and BSE Midcap closing flat. Investors are closely monitoring March quarter results domestically and the impact of rising bond yields on the US Federal Reserve's policy decisions.
Disclaimer:
This report serves for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading in financial markets involves risk, and individuals should be aware of the potential for losses.
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Market Overview:
On April 15, 2024, both the Nifty and the Bank Nifty witnessed significant declines, influenced by a combination of global geopolitical tensions and profit-taking sentiments. The Nifty opened with a gap down and sustained a deep cut of approximately 242 points, closing below the 22,300 mark. Similarly, the Bank Nifty plummeted by approximately 791 points, facing strong bearish pressure throughout the trading session.
Technical Analysis:
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On Friday, Indian benchmark indices concluded on a downtrend, with the Nifty hovering around 22,500 amidst widespread selling across sectors. The Sensex closed down by 793 points at 74244, while the Nifty was down 234 points at 22519.
Market Analysis:
The Nifty started the day with a gap down and continued to slide throughout the session, closing approximately 234 points lower. Technical analysis indicates weakness as the index breached and closed below the lows of the previous three trading sessions. The market sentiment was negative from the outset, with pressure on heavyweights across sectors. Pharma, FMCG, and banking sectors were among the top losers, while broader indices displayed some resilience.